Speedrun Completion Time Predictor

Sum of Best (SoB) is the total time if you add up your best-ever time for each individual segment of the run. It represents the perfect run where everything goes right in every section. SoB is always faster than your actual best run because you rarely execute every segment perfectly in the same attempt. The gap between your PB and SoB shows how much time you are losing to mistakes or inconsistent execution.

Predictions become more accurate as you have more segment data. With 60-70% of segments completed, predictions are typically within 10-15% of actual results. Early predictions (under 50% segments) are rough estimates. The model accounts for the learning curve — as you practice more, your improvement per hour decreases (diminishing returns). For professional speedrunners with 1000+ hours, weekly improvements are typically under 0.5%.

New runners (0-100 hours) can improve 5-10% per week through learning basic route optimizations and strategies. Intermediate runners (100-500 hours) improve 1-3% per week refining execution. Advanced runners (500+ hours) improve 0.5-1% per week chasing minor optimizations. World record level runners may go weeks or months between improvements of 0.1-0.5%. Set realistic goals based on your experience level.

Focus on segments with the highest time loss relative to your best split. Look for segments where your average time is significantly higher than your best (20%+ difference). These are consistency issues. Also prioritize long segments and difficult trick segments — a 30-second segment with a 10-second potential save matters more than a 5-second segment. Use the remaining segments estimate to allocate practice time proportionally.